Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.059232 0.067181 0.075315 0.084230 0.093696 0.103418 0.114131
2025-08-31 0.044346 0.055697 0.067918 0.081911 0.097356 0.113763 0.132398
2025-09-07 0.036501 0.049963 0.065066 0.082938 0.103218 0.125261 0.150791
2025-09-14 0.031212 0.046163 0.063547 0.084686 0.109200 0.136310 0.168165
2025-09-21 0.028013 0.044314 0.063849 0.088127 0.116760 0.148843 0.186943
2025-09-28 0.024308 0.041355 0.062440 0.089226 0.121341 0.157774 0.201472
2025-10-05 0.023934 0.042563 0.066042 0.096249 0.132799 0.174549 0.224894
2025-10-12 0.020280 0.039006 0.063386 0.095420 0.134765 0.180202 0.235460
2025-10-19 0.018112 0.037252 0.062853 0.097059 0.139565 0.189063 0.249646
2025-10-26 0.015769 0.034988 0.061465 0.097476 0.142767 0.195956 0.261476
2025-11-02 0.014123 0.033578 0.061091 0.099082 0.147345 0.204422 0.275097
2025-11-09 0.012234 0.031570 0.059751 0.099323 0.150146 0.210698 0.286094
2025-11-16 0.009525 0.027958 0.056069 0.096508 0.149241 0.212717 0.292346
2025-11-23 0.007314 0.024826 0.052857 0.094173 0.148858 0.215331 0.299310
2025-11-30 0.006213 0.023542 0.052261 0.095303 0.152837 0.223223 0.312555
2025-12-07 0.005407 0.022697 0.052256 0.097191 0.157760 0.232253 0.327154
2025-12-14 0.005042 0.022717 0.053567 0.100901 0.165042 0.244194 0.345270
2025-12-21 0.004260 0.021673 0.053118 0.102084 0.168994 0.251998 0.358380
2025-12-28 0.004638 0.023378 0.057132 0.109637 0.181338 0.270251 0.384177
2026-01-04 0.003612 0.021528 0.055274 0.108746 0.182522 0.274595 0.393092
2026-01-11 0.003106 0.020851 0.055288 0.110507 0.187188 0.283267 0.407260
2026-01-18 0.002492 0.019705 0.054433 0.110955 0.190074 0.289687 0.418669
2026-01-25 0.002106 0.019105 0.054469 0.112679 0.194648 0.298221 0.432657